The UConn Huskies are one of the best stories in college football this season, making their first bowl game since 2015 under first year head coach Jim Mora Jr.
The Huskies head to the Myrtle Beach Bowl to face Marshall in South Carolina. The Thundering Herd had an up and down season, including a massive upset against Notre Dame on the road, but also a loss to Bowling Green as 17-point favorites.
Both teams want to run the ball and this game has a low total, but Marshall is laying double digits, so is it worth it to lay the number with the Sun Belt club, or hope UConn continues to overachieve this season?
Here are the odds for today's Myrtle Beach Bowl:
UConn vs. Marshall Odds, Spread and Total
UConn vs. Marshall Betting Trends
- Connecticut is 9-3 against the spread (ATS) this season
- UConn coach Jim Mora Jr is 2-2 ATS in bowl games
- Marshall head coach Charles Huff is 0-1 ATS in bowl games
- Marshall is 3-6 ATS as a favorite this season
- Marshall has gone UNDER in nine of 12 games this season, seven of nine as a favorite
UConn vs. Marshall Prediction and Pick
With a low total and Marshall laying double digits, I'm interested in backing the Huskies, who have been a covering machine this season at 9-3 against the number.
The Thundering Herd have a fantastic defense, ranking top 10 in metrics such as yards per play allowed and points per drive allowed. Further, they are No. 1 in the country in success rate and rush yards allowed.
Marshall's defense can limit a run-first UConn offense, the team averages nearly five yards per carry and is top 10 in explosive run rate, but I don't trust the Thundering Herd offense to win with margin. This is a group that has been favored by 10 or more twice this season and they lost outright both times to Bowling Green and Louisiana.
Marshall's offense has made them an undesirable favorite this season. The team's offensive line is putrid, outside the top 100 in tackles for loss as well as line yards. Further, the team can't stretch the field with the passing game, bottom 20 in explosive pass rate.
UConn's defense is middle of the pack, 57th in yards per play allowed and 48th in EPA/Play, but they thrive off turnovers, 30th in turnovers gained. Marshall's offense is prone to negative plays often, 118th in havoc allowed (which factors tackles for loss, passes defended and turnovers), and UConn may be able to flip the field with turnovers and take control of this game.
Let's ride the Huskies one more time this season and see if they can get to double digit wins for bettors with a 10th cover.
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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.