
Mar 20, 2023; Lakeland, Florida, USA; Toronto Blue Jays starting pitcher Kevin Gausman (34) throws a pitch against the Detroit Tigers during the first inning at Publix Field at Joker Marchant Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports
Tigers vs. Blue Jays prediction and odds for Wednesday, April 12 (Bet the UNDER)
The Toronto Blue Jays grabbed the victory in the first game of a three-game set against the Detroit Tigers last night, beating them by a final score of 9-3.
The two teams will face-off in Game 2 tonight but despite last night’s offensive output, I suggest taking the UNDER in tonight’s showdown.
Let’s take a look at the odds for tonight’s game and then I’ll break down why I think we should back a strong defensive performance.
Tigers vs. Blue Jays odds, run line, and total
Tigers vs. Blue Jays prediction and pick
Taking the UNDER makes a whole lot of sense when you see that Kevin Gausman gets the start for the Jays tonight. The 32-year old has yet to allow an earned run this season, sporting a perfect ERA through his first two starts while racking up 14 strikeouts in 12.0 innings.
He should be licking his lips looking at tonight’s matchup. He gets to face a Detroit Tigers team that’s dead last in the Majors in OPS at 0.557, while also averaging only 3.00 runs per game.
The biggest question comes from whether or not the Tigers pitching can slow down the Blue Jays potent offense.
Eduardo Rodriguez gets the start for the Tigers tonight, entering the game with a 6.30 ERA. That’s not promising when betting on the UNDER, but the factor that’s more important is that he’s a left-handed pitcher.
The Blue Jays OPS this season drops from .831 against right-handed pitchers to .747 against lefties, an area that they also struggled in last season.
Eduardo Rodriguez isn’t going to have a 6.30 ERA all season, there will be some positive regression at some point this season. Hopefully that comes tonight and he can keep the Jays offense in check.
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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.